Perspectives on global energy futures: simulations with the TIME model
نویسندگان
چکیده
Many uncertainties and controversies surround the future of the global energy system. The Targets IMage Energy (TIME) model of which a concise description is given, is used to explore the consequences of divergent assumptions about some uncertain and controversial issues. The IPCC-IS92a Conventional Wisdom scenario is used as a reference and, in combination with two other scenarios, discussed in the context of other recently published global energy scenarios. ( 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
The battle of perspectives: a multi-agent model with adaptive responses to climate change
To evaluate possible futures with regard to economy, energy and climate, a multi-agent modelling approach is used. Agents hold different perspectives on how the world functions (worldview) and how it should be managed (management style) and this is implemented in a simple dynamic model of the economy-energy-climate system. Each perspective is supported by a proportion of the agents, but this pr...
متن کاملProposing a linear model of energy hub operation using information gap decision theory
Energy hub is a concept relates various energy carriers which has been expanded in recent years. Operation of energy hub is often attended with uncertainties. Therefore, this paper presents a linear model based on information gap decision theory (IGDT) to solve the energy hub problem. This approach can consider plenty of uncertainties, simultaneously. Energy hub under study includes a combined ...
متن کاملReverse Electrodialysis for Salinity Gradient Power Generation: Challenges and Future Perspectives
Salinity gradient energy, which is also known as Blue energy, is a renewable energy form that can be extracted from the mixing of two solutions with different salinities. About 80% of the current global electricity demand could potentially be covered by this energy source. Among several energy extraction technologie...
متن کاملThreshold harvesting policy and delayed ratio-dependent functional response predator-prey model
This paper deals with a delayed ratio-dependent functional response predator-prey model with a threshold harvesting policy. We study the equilibria of the system before and after the threshold. We show that the threshold harvesting can improve the undesirable behavior such as nonexistence of interior equilibria. The global analysis of the model as well as boundedness and permanence properties a...
متن کاملPricing of Commodity Futures Contract by Using of Spot Price Jump-Diffusion Process
Futures contract is one of the most important derivatives that is used in financial markets in all over the world to buy or sell an asset or commodity in the future. Pricing of this tool depends on expected price of asset or commodity at the maturity date. According to this, theoretical futures pricing models try to find this expected price in order to use in the futures contract. So in this ar...
متن کامل